Progress towards casualty reduction targets for 2030

Introduction

The Scottish Government recently published a new Road Safety Framework to 2030 The following section provides information on the progress made towards the four main casualty reduction targets outlined in the framework. These targets are included in Table 2 and each reduction target is assessed against the 2014/18 average.

Table 2: Casualty reduction targets in Scotland's 2021 Road Safety Framework.
Target	2030 target % reduction
People killed	50%
People seriously injured	50%
Children (aged < 16) killed	60%
Children (aged < 16) seriously injured	60%

When reporting progress towards the two targets relating to serious injuries, years prior to 2020 (including the baseline period of 2014-2018) are reported on the basis of adjusted figures (see earlier section for more information).

Target: 50% reduction in those killed by 2030

There were 139 people killed in 2021, a 20% reduction from the 2014-18 baseline average. Provisionally, the decrease seen to 2021 is not on track to meet the framework target for 2030 (a reduction of 50% from 2014-18 baseline). Figure 11 shows that the total number of fatalities in 2021 was above the indicative line required to achieve the target.

Target: 50% reduction in those seriously injured by 2030

On the basis of adjusted figures, there were 1,596 serious injuries in 2021, a 45% reduction since the adjusted 2014-18 baseline level.

Figure 12 shows that, provisionally, the reduction is on track to meet the framework target for 2030 (a reduction of 50% from 2014-18 baseline).

Target: 60% reduction in children killed by 2030

Due to small numbers and year-to-year fluctuations this target is measured using a three-year average. An average of 4 children a year were killed in the 2019-2021 period, a 23% reduction from the 2014-2018 baseline. Figure 13 provisionally shows that the reduction is on track to meet the framework target for 2030.

Target: 60% reduction in children seriously injured by 2030

On the basis of the adjusted figures, there were 139 serious injuries in 2021, a 50% reduction since the adjusted 2014-18 baseline level. Figure 14 provisionally shows that the reduction is on track to meet the framework target for 2030 (a reduction of 65% from 2014-18 baseline).

Figure 11: Progress towards casualties killed reduction target.

Figure 12: Progress towards casualties seriously injured reduction target.

Figure 13: Progress towards children killed reduction target.

Figure 14: Progress towards children seriously injured reduction target.

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